Date of Completion
2020
Document Type
Honors College Thesis
Department
Mathematics and Statistics
Thesis Type
Honors College, College of Arts and Science Honors
First Advisor
Sheila Weaver
Second Advisor
Maike Holthuijzen
Keywords
precipitation, extreme value theory, climate, regional climate model, regression, clustering
Abstract
Extreme precipitation has increased across the United States, and particularly in the Northeastern U.S., in the past decades, due to climate change. Extreme precipitation events contribute to an increased risk of major flooding, which can lead to waterborne disease outbreaks and food system insecurity. The objective of this study is to use the method of block maxima, along with trend analyses, to determine if the behavior of extreme precipitation events may shift in the future over a region in the Northeastern United States. It was found that the intensity of extreme precipitation is likely to increase in the Northeastern United States and that higher elevations may experience more variability of extreme precipitation events compared to areas at lower elevations.
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 License.
Recommended Citation
Zwonik, Connor Peter, "Assessing Trends in Future Precipitation Extremes in the Northeastern United States using the Method of Block Maxima" (2020). UVM Patrick Leahy Honors College Senior Theses. 375.
https://scholarworks.uvm.edu/hcoltheses/375