Date of Completion


Document Type

Honors College Thesis


Mathematics and Statistics

Thesis Type

Honors College, College of Arts and Science Honors

First Advisor

Sheila Weaver

Second Advisor

Maike Holthuijzen


precipitation, extreme value theory, climate, regional climate model, regression, clustering


Extreme precipitation has increased across the United States, and particularly in the Northeastern U.S., in the past decades, due to climate change. Extreme precipitation events contribute to an increased risk of major flooding, which can lead to waterborne disease outbreaks and food system insecurity. The objective of this study is to use the method of block maxima, along with trend analyses, to determine if the behavior of extreme precipitation events may shift in the future over a region in the Northeastern United States. It was found that the intensity of extreme precipitation is likely to increase in the Northeastern United States and that higher elevations may experience more variability of extreme precipitation events compared to areas at lower elevations.

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 License.