Testing the veracity of space-for-time-substitution surveys in modeling long-term zooplankton community dynamics

Conference Year

January 2022

Abstract

Space-for-Time-substitution surveys (SFTS) are commonly used to describe zooplankton communities and model their response to environmental change. The approach typically uses single observations from many lakes to evaluate how zooplankton metrics (e.g. density, diversity indices) respond to spatial gradients in environmental forcing (e.g. temperature, nutrients). However, SFTS zooplankton surveys have not yet been tested for their reproducibility. We compiled global lake time series to test whether SFTS surveys capture long-term zooplankton patterns by resampling the datasets under different SFTS permutations. Preliminary results indicate that relationships from SFTS designs are not reproducible and SFTS designs should therefore be used with caution.

Primary Faculty Mentor Name

Jason Stockwell

Secondary Mentor Name

Ariana Chiapella

Faculty/Staff Collaborators

Jorge García-Girón, Jouko Sarvala, Orlane Anneville, Katharina Winter, Martin J. Kainz, Olga O. Rusanovskaya, Barbara Tartarotti, Kirsten S. Christoffersen, Jens C. Nejstgaard, Elvira de Eyto

Student Collaborators

Cecilia Vichi

Status

Undergraduate

Student College

Rubenstein School of Environmental and Natural Resources

Program/Major

Environmental Sciences

Second Program/Major

Anthropology

Primary Research Category

Biological Sciences

Secondary Research Category

Food & Environment Studies

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Testing the veracity of space-for-time-substitution surveys in modeling long-term zooplankton community dynamics

Space-for-Time-substitution surveys (SFTS) are commonly used to describe zooplankton communities and model their response to environmental change. The approach typically uses single observations from many lakes to evaluate how zooplankton metrics (e.g. density, diversity indices) respond to spatial gradients in environmental forcing (e.g. temperature, nutrients). However, SFTS zooplankton surveys have not yet been tested for their reproducibility. We compiled global lake time series to test whether SFTS surveys capture long-term zooplankton patterns by resampling the datasets under different SFTS permutations. Preliminary results indicate that relationships from SFTS designs are not reproducible and SFTS designs should therefore be used with caution.