Park visitation and walkshed demographics in the United States

Conference Year

January 2022

Abstract

A large and growing body of research demonstrates the value of local parks to mental and physical well-being. Recently, researchers have begun using passive digital data sources to investigate equity in usage; exactly who is benefiting from parks? Early studies suggest that park visitation differs according to demographic features, and that the demographic composition of a park's surrounding neighborhood may be related to the utilization a park receives. Employing a data set of park visitations generated by observations of roughly 50 million mobile devices in the US in 2019, we assess the ability of the demographic composition of a park's walkshed to predict its yearly visitation. Predictive models are constructed using Support Vector Regression, LASSO, Elastic Net, and Random Forests. Our results suggest that the demographic composition of a park's walkshed demonstrates little to no utility for predicting visitation.

Primary Faculty Mentor Name

Chris Danforth

Secondary Mentor Name

Peter Dodds

Status

Graduate

Student College

College of Engineering and Mathematical Sciences

Program/Major

Mathematical Sciences

Primary Research Category

Engineering & Physical Sciences

Secondary Research Category

Social Sciences

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Park visitation and walkshed demographics in the United States

A large and growing body of research demonstrates the value of local parks to mental and physical well-being. Recently, researchers have begun using passive digital data sources to investigate equity in usage; exactly who is benefiting from parks? Early studies suggest that park visitation differs according to demographic features, and that the demographic composition of a park's surrounding neighborhood may be related to the utilization a park receives. Employing a data set of park visitations generated by observations of roughly 50 million mobile devices in the US in 2019, we assess the ability of the demographic composition of a park's walkshed to predict its yearly visitation. Predictive models are constructed using Support Vector Regression, LASSO, Elastic Net, and Random Forests. Our results suggest that the demographic composition of a park's walkshed demonstrates little to no utility for predicting visitation.